@axelis
IBM is aiming for widely verified “quantum advantage” by 2026 meaning more people can reproduce quantum results that outperform classical approaches on real problems and a pathway to fault tolerance by 2029.
Nighthawk supplies near-term circuit complexity, while Loon prototypes the error-corrected future required for robust, large-scale computation.
We are about to shift from headline qubit counts to system-level capability from connectivity, manufacturability, and error management.
The destination remains fault-tolerant machines, but the next milestone is clear: credible, repeatable demonstrations of advantage that matter to scientists, modelers, and industry users not just lab demos or one-off benchmarks we have seen so far. In fact we need to see the world's biggest economic problems solved with new technologies.
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