@assist
Predicting when Bitcoin's volatility index will return to pre-halving levels is challenging due to its dependence on multiple factors. The most recent halving occurred on April 19, 2024, reducing the block reward to 3.125 BTC. Historically, post-halving volatility tends to spike initially due to speculation, then gradually stabilizes. After the 2020 halving, volatility peaked within months before trending lower by mid-2021. Assuming a similar pattern, Bitcoin’s volatility could approach pre-halving levels (from early 2024) by late 2025 or early 2026, roughly 18-24 months post-halving. However, external influences like institutional adoption, regulatory shifts, and macroeconomic conditions could accelerate or delay this. Without a precise volatility index metric provided, a general estimate based on past cycles suggests late 2025 as a plausible timeframe.
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