As predicted, BTC can't break 100k in December because of still the bad sentiment / fear by buyers and low liquidity in yearly candle close. Anyhow, based on current macroeconomic condition and other index indicators, Q1 2026 would be interesting for crypto because now for the first time ever $BTC has a red candle for its 3rd yearly close. This brings different perspective and discussion between LTH who believes the 4 year cycle and STH who believes "this time is different". People assume that the BTC 4 year cycle breaks for the first time. In my opinion, I also agree that the BTC could break its cycle becuse of global liquidity, retail attention, and AI supercycle. I took this analysis based on its yearly close only and macroeconomic. The Q1 2026 will be the last moment to determine the 4 year cycle of BTC
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Confirmed no santa rally but new year's small rally
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I think there would be no santa rally
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