As Europe navigates a tense geopolitical landscape in late 2025, the continent faces mounting challenges. Russia’s war in Ukraine grinds on with brutal Russian missile strikes on energy infrastructure, pushing Kyiv toward blackouts while peace talks remain fragile under U.S. pressure for concessions. NATO grapples with U.S. demands for Europe to lead conventional defense by 2027, straining alliances amid hybrid threats and sabotage risks. The Trump administration’s shift—criticizing Europe as “decaying” and prioritizing deals with autocrats—has weakened transatlantic unity, forcing the EU to boost defense spending and energy independence. Migration flows have stabilized, but potential surges from Syria’s post-Assad turmoil and Latin America loom. Economic security, cyber risks, and climate pressures add layers of uncertainty. Europe must accelerate strategic autonomy to safeguard its future amid great-power rivalry.
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