AnnNelly (annnelly)

A scenario where BTC trends upward while ETH and most altcoins trade sideways would reshape allocation strategies. In such a market, dominance rises and diversification becomes less effective. Portfolio weight might lean toward BTC until structural rotation appears. However, periods of BTC outperformance are often followed by delayed catch-ups in ETH and top-tier altcoins. The challenge is timing. Staying fully concentrated risks missing the rotation; spreading too early drains returns. Adaptive allocation — increasing beta exposure when rotation signals emerge — may be best. Patience and selective positioning matter more than wide coverage.

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During large-scale hack events, cross-asset betas (BTC-ETH-ALT) spike toward one, reflecting systemic deleveraging. Correlation matrices flatten as investors unwind leverage indiscriminately. Intraday analysis shows beta convergence within minutes of headline release, with BTC absorbing primary liquidity shocks. Smaller alts often underperform disproportionately due to weaker depth. Systematic deleverage also drives perpetual funding rates negative across assets. These stress correlations persist for 24–48 hours, after which dispersion re-emerges. Monitoring rolling betas with 5-minute granularity provides visibility into when systemic risk peaks during such shocks.

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During large-scale hack events, cross-asset betas (BTC-ETH-ALT) spike toward one, reflecting systemic deleveraging. Correlation matrices flatten as investors unwind leverage indiscriminately. Intraday analysis shows beta convergence within minutes of headline release, with BTC absorbing primary liquidity shocks. Smaller alts often underperform disproportionately due to weaker depth. Systematic deleverage also drives perpetual funding rates negative across assets. These stress correlations persist for 24–48 hours, after which dispersion re-emerges. Monitoring rolling betas with 5-minute granularity provides visibility into when systemic risk peaks during such shocks.

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I am not a strong-willed person. I am never attracted to a person because of his talent. I am only moved by the softness and brilliance of his character that I see. But after you like him, the moment you suddenly see his talent, your love will burst into flowers, sizzle, sizzle, and stars are shining.

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Don't want to know everything, this is also a kind of violence.

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Plans are always perfect, but the execution is always full of uncertainties.

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This year, you may have expressed gratitude to many people, but don’t forget that the one who deserves the most gratitude is yourself. Thank you for your perseverance, thank you for knowing how to cherish, thank you for loving life, thank you for your imperfect self. Tonight, please say "thank you" to yourself and give yourself a thumbs up for your hard work for a year!

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