There are only 2 indicators for the cycle to be over
1. 50 MA was crossed
2. End of 4-year cycle
There are 20 why it’s not over
1. Cycles depend on the business cycle, not the 4-year cycle
2. SP500 at ATHs
3. Gold at ATHs
4. M2 at ATHs
5. Death cross that has always doubled the Bitcoin price in the 6 months following in this cycle
6. None of the 20 bull run top indicators has hit
7. There was no euphoria
8. More rate cuts are coming
9. Government shutdown just ended, which pumped Bitcoin for 6 months straight last time
10. ETFs
11. $12.5T Retirement funds integrating Bitcoin
12. Altcoins extremely oversold
13. Fear index is at 10 - extrem fear, which always marked the bottom
Overall, only 2 micro indicators would speak for a top, but all the indicators, both micro and macro speak against it.
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THE BULL RUN HASN’T EVEN STARTED.
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