@0xdavide
🪂In this thread, I'll do two calculations to see if the fees spent on Opensea waves are recoverable and what the break-even point is for airdrop supply. Just math, not scam gurus.
I'll start by estimating a FDV of 1.5B (I know some might think this is low, but I'm basing this estimate on Polymarket). We know the community airdrop will be 25%.
🔹FDV: 1.5B (estimated with Polymarket).
🔹Airdrop supply (Market Cap): 375M (25% of 1.5B).
375M is the capital that will be distributed in airdrop with a FDV of 1.5B.
We know there will be 2 airdrops:
1) Retro Airdrop (OG, pre-2025): based on volume/fees spent.
2) Airdrop (2025&Q1 2026): based on badges containing $Sea tokens (Beta, Voyager, Waves).
We can assume 12.50% (OG) and 12.50% (2025). 12.50% of supply represents approximately 187.5M of the 375M (12.50% of 25%).
The wave pools (50% of the fees spent) are made up of:
🔹Wave1: 12.2M.
🔹Wave2: 5.6M.
🔹Wave3: 4.2M.
🔹Wave4: 3.9M.
🔹Wave5: X.
Fees to be recovered: 12.2M+5.6M+4.2M+3.9M+W5=30M.